▌ OPERATIONAL SECTOR

Conflict and War

4 BRIEFS FILED

Iran Fires Ballistic Missiles at Gulf States After US Destroys Hormuz Radar Sites

US strikes on Iranian radar installations at Goruk and Qeshm Island, following Iranian drone attacks on the Strait of Hormuz and ballistic missile launches against Kuwait and Bahrain, signal the April 2026 ceasefire is approaching systemic failure.

◆ HIGH CONFIDENCEConflict and War

▌ INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

Gulf Escalation: US and Iran Trade Strikes as Kuwait Caught in Crossfire

The US-Iran ceasefire in the Gulf is fracturing following a US strike on Iranian military sites and Iran's retaliatory ballistic missile attack on US forces in Kuwait, intercepted by American air defences.

◆ HIGH CONFIDENCEConflict and War3 JUN 2026

▌ ANALYSIS

Hormuz on the Edge: Iran's IRGC Tests Ceasefire Limits as Nuclear Deal Hangs in the Balance

Nearly three months after the United States and Israel launched the most significant direct military campaign against Iran in modern history, a fragile ceasefire is fracturing in real time. On 25 May, US forces conducted what the Pentagon described as "self-defence strikes" against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps boats actively laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz — the global chokepoint through which roughly 20 percent of the world's traded oil transits daily. The IRGC has responded by threatening reciprocal action and redefining the Strait as a "vast operational area." Peace negotiations in Doha remain deadlocked on the nuclear question. The conflict may have entered a post-offensive phase, but it has not ended.

◆ HIGH CONFIDENCEConflict and War26 MAY 2026

▌ CONFLICT INTEL // UKRAINE

SBU Charges 81 in Counterintelligence Sweep Including 20 Serving Officers: Russian Penetration of Ukraine's Security Apparatus Deeper Than Acknowledged

Ukraine's Security Service has filed charges against 81 individuals in an ongoing counterintelligence operation, with 20 of those charged being current SBU officers — a disclosure confirming Russian intelligence penetration of Ukrainian security structures at scale and raising immediate questions about operational security across the conflict theatre.

◆ HIGH CONFIDENCEConflict and War26 MAY 2026